If the Playoffs started today…
American League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rays | 87-58 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 81 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 18 | 1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Chicago White Sox | 75-70 | 14 | 15 | 16 | — | <0.1 | 69 | 15 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 10 | 95 |
| 3 |  Houston Astros | 74-72 | 14 | 14 | — | — | <0.1 | 18 | 62 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 4 | 84 |
| 4 |  New York Yankees | 83-62 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 78 | 3 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 5 |  Boston Red Sox | 80-67 | 9 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 4 | 96 | 1 | >99.9 |
| 6 |  Cleveland Guardians | 74-73 | 15 | 15 | — | — | <0.1 | 10 | 5 | <0.1 | 0.3 | 34 | 50 |
| 7 |  Toronto Blue Jays | 73-74 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.3 | 33 | 34 |
| 8 |  Texas Rangers | 72-74 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | 2 | 16 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 12 | 30 |
| 9 |  Baltimore Orioles | 71-76 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 |  Minnesota Twins | 69-77 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | 0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 |  Seattle Mariners | 68-78 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | 2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| 12 |  Detroit Tigers | 67-79 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 13 |  Kansas City Royals | 65-82 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  Athletics Athletics | 59-88 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 15 |  Los Angeles Angels | 56-90 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
National League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Milwaukee Brewers | 91-56 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 72 | 27 | 2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Dodgers | 89-57 | 4 | 5 | 13 | — | 28 | 68 | 4 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 3 |  Atlanta Braves | 85-61 | 8 | 13 | — | — | 0.4 | 6 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 0.2 | >99.9 |
| 4 |  Philadelphia Phillies | 82-64 | 10 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | 6 | 41 | 41 | 10 | 98 |
| 5 |  Chicago Cubs | 81-66 | 11 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 51 | 39 | 8 | 98 |
| 6 |  San Diego Padres | 78-68 | 15 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 60 |
| 7 |  Arizona Diamondbacks | 78-69 | 15 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Pirates | 73-73 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Miami Marlins | 72-75 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 10 |  St. Louis Cardinals | 72-75 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 11 |  Cincinnati Reds | 69-77 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 12 |  New York Mets | 68-78 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 13 |  Washington Nationals | 67-81 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  San Francisco Giants | 62-85 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Colorado Rockies | 55-90 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Rays87-58Playoff2Div14Bye141 Seed14>99.9%2White Sox75-70Playoff14Div15Bye161 Seed—95%3Astros74-72Playoff14Div14Bye—1 Seed—84%4Yankees83-62Playoff5Div17Bye171 Seed17>99.9%5Red Sox80-67Playoff9Div—Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%6Guardians74-73Playoff15Div15Bye—1 Seed—50%Still Mathematically Alive
7Blue Jays73-74Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—34%8Rangers72-74Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—30%9Orioles71-76Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim4%10Twins69-77Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim2%11Mariners68-78Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim2%12Tigers67-79Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.2%13Royals65-82Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%14Athletics59-88Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
15Angels56-90PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Brewers91-56Playoff1Div5Bye111 Seed14>99.9%2Dodgers89-57Playoff4Div5Bye131 Seed—>99.9%3Braves85-61Playoff8Div13Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%4Phillies82-64Playoff10Div—Bye—1 Seed—98%5Cubs81-66Playoff11Div—Bye—1 Seed—98%6Padres78-68Playoff15Div—Bye—1 Seed—60%Still Mathematically Alive
7Diamondbacks78-69Playoff15Div—Bye—1 Seed—42%8Pirates73-73Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim1%9Marlins72-75Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.3%10Cardinals72-75Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%11Reds69-77Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%12Mets68-78Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%13Nationals67-81Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
14Giants62-85PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%15Rockies55-90PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%Tiebreaking steps used to generate seedings1 tie
NL Wild Card race and remaining order (seeds 4-6 and below)
Two-club tie for the No. 9 seed (outside the playoff spots): Marlins, Cardinals
Marlins 72-75 (.490) · Cardinals 72-75 (.490)
Head-to-head — comparing Marlins, Cardinals
| 1. | Marlins | 4-2 (.667) |
| 2. | Cardinals | 2-4 (.333) |
MIA qualifies for the No. 9 seed (outside the playoff spots); STL takes the next spot.
Result: 1. Marlins 2. Cardinals