If the Playoffs started today…
American League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rays | 85-58 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 73 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 22 | 5 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Chicago White Sox | 75-68 | 16 | 17 | 17 | — | <0.1 | 77 | 10 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 10 | 96 |
| 3 |  Houston Astros | 73-71 | 16 | 16 | — | — | <0.1 | 11 | 66 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 79 |
| 4 |  New York Yankees | 81-62 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 25 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 65 | 10 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 5 |  Boston Red Sox | 79-65 | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 13 | 84 | 1 | >99.9 |
| 6 |  Cleveland Guardians | 73-71 | 18 | 18 | — | — | <0.1 | 11 | 3 | <0.1 | 1 | 36 | 50 |
| 7 |  Toronto Blue Jays | 72-72 | 19 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.4 | 39 | 40 |
| 8 |  Texas Rangers | 71-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | 1 | 19 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 |  Baltimore Orioles | 69-75 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 |  Minnesota Twins | 68-75 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Seattle Mariners | 67-77 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | 3 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Detroit Tigers | 65-78 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 13 |  Kansas City Royals | 64-80 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  Athletics Athletics | 57-87 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 15 |  Los Angeles Angels | 54-89 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
National League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Milwaukee Brewers | 88-56 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 60 | 27 | 12 | 1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Dodgers | 86-57 | 7 | 9 | 19 | — | 29 | 47 | 24 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 3 |  Atlanta Braves | 85-58 | 8 | 14 | — | — | 11 | 25 | 62 | 1 | 1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 4 |  Chicago Cubs | 81-63 | 11 | — | — | — | <0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 72 | 25 | 2 | 99.7 |
| 5 |  Philadelphia Phillies | 80-63 | 13 | 20 | — | — | <0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | 25 | 59 | 13 | 98 |
| 6 |  Arizona Diamondbacks | 76-68 | 17 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 54 |
| 7 |  San Diego Padres | 75-68 | 18 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 43 |
| 8 |  Miami Marlins | 72-72 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 |  St. Louis Cardinals | 72-72 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Pirates | 71-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Cincinnati Reds | 69-74 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 12 |  Washington Nationals | 67-78 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 13 |  New York Mets | 65-78 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  San Francisco Giants | 59-85 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Colorado Rockies | 55-88 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Rays85-58Playoff5Div16Bye161 Seed16>99.9%2White Sox75-68Playoff16Div17Bye171 Seed—96%3Astros73-71Playoff16Div16Bye—1 Seed—79%4Yankees81-62Playoff9Div19Bye191 Seed19>99.9%5Red Sox79-65Playoff12Div—Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%6Guardians73-71Playoff18Div18Bye—1 Seed—50%Still Mathematically Alive
7Blue Jays72-72Playoff19Div—Bye—1 Seed—40%8Rangers71-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—28%9Orioles69-75Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—2%10Twins68-75Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—3%11Mariners67-77Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim3%12Tigers65-78Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.2%13Royals64-80Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%14Athletics57-87Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%15Angels54-89Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Brewers88-56Playoff5Div12Bye171 Seed17>99.9%2Dodgers86-57Playoff7Div9Bye191 Seed—>99.9%3Braves85-58Playoff8Div14Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%4Cubs81-63Playoff11Div—Bye—1 Seed—99.7%5Phillies80-63Playoff13Div20Bye—1 Seed—98%6Diamondbacks76-68Playoff17Div—Bye—1 Seed—54%Still Mathematically Alive
7Padres75-68Playoff18Div—Bye—1 Seed—43%8Marlins72-72Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—2%9Cardinals72-72Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—2%10Pirates71-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—1%11Reds69-74Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%12Nationals67-78Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%13Mets65-78Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
14Giants59-85PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%15Rockies55-88PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%Tiebreaking steps used to generate seedings1 tie
NL Wild Card race and remaining order (seeds 4-6 and below)
Two-club tie for the No. 8 seed (outside the playoff spots): Marlins, Cardinals
Marlins 72-72 (.500) · Cardinals 72-72 (.500)
Head-to-head — comparing Marlins, Cardinals
| 1. | Marlins | 4-2 (.667) |
| 2. | Cardinals | 2-4 (.333) |
MIA qualifies for the No. 8 seed (outside the playoff spots); STL takes the next spot.
Result: 1. Marlins 2. Cardinals